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11

Independent Angel

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 45

Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap · 7f 36y

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★ Timeform

Commentary

Made her first real impact when fourth over 6f at Carlisle in June but has failed to back it up 3 times since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Redcar 17/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 45 · 5f Goo 120 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 45 par17/106OR 456 @ Chelmsford City 30/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 45 · 6f Std 128 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 45 par6 @ Wolverhampton 04/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 45 · 5f21y Std 120 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 45 par4/116OR 456 @ Southwell 26/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 45 · 4f214y Std 121 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Nottingham 18/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 17 · OR 45 · 5f8y Goo 121 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 45 par18/046OR 456 @ Carlisle 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 45 · 5f182y Sft 126 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Chepstow 09/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 45 · 6f16y GF 126 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 45 par9/086OR 456 @ Ffos Las 21/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 45 · 7f80y Gd 126 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Southwell 22/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 45 · 6f16y Std 121 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 45 par22/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Southwell69th9th0
2026-08-21Ffos Las610th10th0
2026-08-09Chepstow67th7th0
2026-06-08Carlisle64th4th0
2026-04-18Nottingham612th12th0
2026-03-26Southwell610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1026/039/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength30%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/20256th100/10%29%+0.29
30/10/20259th66/10%0%0.00
04/11/20254th100/10%40%+0.40
26/03/202610th125/10%18%+0.18
18/04/202612th66/10%31%+0.31
08/06/20264th50/10%63%+0.63
09/08/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
21/08/202610th50/10%18%+0.18
22/09/20269th100/10%27%+0.27