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6

Sup Of Red

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 58

Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap · 7f 36y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden who hit the frame in maiden/handicap company on turf in Ireland. Runner-up on all-weather for this yard at the start of the year but below par in 2 turf outings back from a break last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA64 @ Cork 30/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 64 · 6f Yie 122 · below its mark30/09/2025 · OR 64 par30/0964OR 64BHA64 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 64 · 7f Std 134 · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 64 par6 @ Wolverhampton 06/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 63 · 7f36y Std 133 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 63 par6/026OR 636 @ Wolverhampton 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 63 · 1m142y Std 133 · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Wolverhampton 16/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 64 · 7f36y Std 134 · beat its mark16/03/2026 · OR 64 par16/036OR 646 @ Wolverhampton 09/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 63 · 7f36y Std 133 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Kempton 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 63 · 7f Sta 133 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 63 par30/046OR 635 @ Chepstow 06/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 62 · 7f16y GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Windsor 24/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 60 · 1m31y Goo 132 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 60 par24/086OR 60projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Windsor66th6th0
2026-08-06Chepstow55th4th+1
2026-04-30Kempton67th7th0
2026-04-09Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2026-03-16Wolverhampton65th5th0
2026-02-27Wolverhampton62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0927/0230/0424/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20256th18/15%55%+0.49
05/11/20255th9/153%69%+0.17
06/02/20264th50/10%70%+0.70
27/02/20262nd15/261%75%+0.14
16/03/20265th10/382%60%-0.22
09/04/20262nd10/147%75%+0.28
30/04/20267th18/15%45%+0.40
06/08/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
24/08/20266th20/10%0%0.00