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7

Nightbloom

2yo Filly · 9-2

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 20y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

No more than minor promise in a pair of 5f outings on turf in July. Has had a breathing operation ahead of this first outing for 10 weeks.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Beverley 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f Goo 1283/0744 @ Sandown 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f10y Goo 12824/074projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Sandown46th6th0
2026-07-03Beverley46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength88%

Delivery trend +54.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20266th3/184%17%-0.68
24/07/20266th11/142%29%-0.14