8

Urumita

2yo Filly · 9-2

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 20y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

87%

Place Prob

64%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked in need of the experience but made an encouraging start when fourth of 10 in maiden at Newbury (6f, firm) in August. Subsequent Windsor fifth was underwhelming but good shout if back to the debut form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f GF 12826/0844 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 5f21y Goo 12814/094projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor45th5th0
2026-08-26Newbury44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength8%

Delivery trend -55.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20264th12/137%67%+0.30
14/09/20265th7/282%56%-0.26