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8

Cosmic Clarets

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 62

Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap · 6f 20y

#9

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden for Richard & Peter Fahey and ran up to best, on debut for new yard, when second of 10 in handicap over C&D 8 days ago. Can race off same mark here and holds solid claims.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength62%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Naas 04/08/2025 · Pos 16th of 21 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS4/08C52 @ York 21/08/2025 · Pos 15th of 21 · OR 73 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 73 par4 @ Thirsk 06/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 72 · 5f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 72 par6/094OR 725 @ Redcar 24/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 68 · 5f217y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 68 par6 @ Newcastle 13/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 64 · 6f Std 134 · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 64 par13/046OR 646 @ Hamilton 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 65 · 6f6y Gd 135 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 65 · 6f2y Goo 135 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 65 par14/066OR 656 @ Doncaster 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 64 · 6f2y GF 135 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Wolverhampton 21/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 62 · 6f20y Std 131 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 62 par21/096OR 62projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2026-07-03Doncaster66th6th0
2026-06-14Doncaster66th6th0
2026-05-03Hamilton62nd2nd0
2026-04-13Newcastle62nd2nd0
2025-09-24Redcar512th11th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0824/0914/0621/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength76%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/202516th33/10%25%+0.25
21/08/202515th80/10%30%+0.30
06/09/202510th16/116%10%-0.06
24/09/202512th20/10%15%+0.15
13/04/20262nd3/184%92%+0.07
03/05/20262nd11/486%86%+0.00
14/06/20266th11/486%62%-0.24
03/07/20266th9/153%38%-0.15
21/09/20262nd14/126%89%+0.63