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Court Alert

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 63

Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap · 6f 20y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Still looking for first success and was never going (bumped early on) in handicap at Leicester 21 days ago. Work to do on tapeta debut. Blinkers back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength94%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Haydock 10/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS10/0842 @ Newmarket 23/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 20 · OR - · 6f GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 26th of 26 · OR 81 · 7f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 81 par4/102OR 814 @ Leicester 13/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 81 · 7f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Brighton 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 78 · 5f215y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 78 par21/064OR 784 @ Nottingham 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 73 · 5f8y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Leicester 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 70 · 5f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 70 par22/074OR 705 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 68 · 6f12y GF 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Leicester 08/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 65 · 6f GS 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 65 par8/095OR 65projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Leicester59th8th+1
2026-08-13Windsor57th6th+1
2026-07-22Leicester42nd0th+2
2026-07-04Nottingham43rd1st+2
2026-06-21Brighton44th2nd+2
2026-04-13Leicester48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0813/0422/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20255th6/168%43%-0.26
23/08/20252nd25/10%95%+0.95
04/10/202526th25/10%0%0.00
13/04/20268th16/116%36%+0.21
21/06/20264th5/287%40%-0.47
04/07/20263rd9/488%75%-0.13
22/07/20262nd11/271%67%-0.04
13/08/20267th12/137%40%+0.03
08/09/20269th11/142%20%-0.22