Dark Alley
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 65
Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap · 6f 20y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Goodwood | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Windsor | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Windsor | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Goodwood | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Southwell | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 16/07/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/08/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 24/10/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 63% | +0.07 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |