Hopjes
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 47
Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap · 6f 20y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Cartmel | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2026-07-19 | Stratford | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Stratford | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Worcester | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-04-16 | Hereford | 4 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Southwell | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 19/01/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 16/04/2026 | 11th | 200/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/05/2026 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |