10
Mister Moet
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 52
Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap · 6f 20y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Southwell | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Lingfield | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Brighton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength24%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 15/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 22/09/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |