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7

Molly Mac

3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 63

Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap · 6f 20y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Finally off the mark at Nottingham in July and confirmed that improvement when following up at Newmarket (6f) 2 weeks later. Not at same level more recently but remains feasibly treated.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 15/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 54 · 1m142y Std 134 · beat its mark15/12/2025 · OR 54 par15/126OR 546 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 54 · 7f3y Sft 129 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 54 · 5f21y GF 126 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 54 par29/066OR 546 @ Wolverhampton 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 54 · 6f20y Std 128 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 54 par5 @ Wolverhampton 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 54 · 7f36y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 54 par17/075OR 546 @ Nottingham 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 54 · 6f18y Goo 134 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 54 par5 @ Newmarket 14/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 60 · 6f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 60 par14/085OR 606 @ Windsor 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 64 · 6f12y Goo 135 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Yarmouth 16/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 64 · 6f3y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 64 par16/095OR 64projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Yarmouth55th4th+1
2026-08-24Windsor65th5th0
2026-08-14Newmarket51st0th+1
2026-07-30Nottingham61st1st0
2026-07-17Wolverhampton56th5th+1
2026-07-07Wolverhampton62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/127/0714/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength23%

Delivery trend -13.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/20253rd25/10%75%+0.75
10/06/20262nd25/10%92%+0.92
29/06/20264th18/15%75%+0.70
07/07/20262nd9/153%89%+0.36
17/07/20266th14/126%50%+0.24
30/07/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
14/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
24/08/20265th11/893%50%-0.43
16/09/20265th9/276%64%-0.13