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12

Saeculamation

3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 46

Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap · 6f 20y

#10

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Kept busy and turned in best effort of 2026 for George Margarson when very good second of 6 in handicap at Lingfield (5f, AW) 43 days ago, clear of rest. Since joined new yard and must enter calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 26/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 52 · 6f Std 127 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 52 par26/036OR 526 @ Nottingham 26/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 50 · 6f18y Goo 125 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Yarmouth 28/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 50 · 5f42y Gd 121 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 50 par28/046OR 506 @ Lingfield 26/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 49 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 48 · 5f215y Gd 128 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 48 par9/066OR 486 @ Brighton 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 48 · 5f215y GF 128 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Leicester 14/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 47 · 6f GF 129 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 47 par14/076OR 476 @ Nottingham 30/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 46 · 6f18y Goo 126 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Lingfield 17/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 45 · 5f6y Std 126 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 45 par17/086OR 45projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-07-30Nottingham63rd3rd0
2026-07-14Leicester68th8th0
2026-06-30Brighton66th6th0
2026-06-09Brighton66th6th0
2026-05-26Lingfield64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0326/0514/0717/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength97%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/03/20268th8/158%13%-0.45
26/04/20264th25/10%79%+0.79
28/04/20263rd7/282%60%-0.22
26/05/20264th9/153%75%+0.22
09/06/20266th17/255%17%-0.39
30/06/20266th16/116%50%+0.34
14/07/20268th20/10%30%+0.30
30/07/20263rd11/142%67%+0.25
17/08/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06