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Von Krolock

7yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 62

Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap · 6f 20y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Found improvement when winning 8-runner handicap at Lingfield (6f) last month. Well below that level at Southwell since but can't be discounted here. Visor back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 06/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 50 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 50 par6/026OR 506 @ Wolverhampton 23/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 51 · 7f36y Std 131 · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Southwell 11/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 51 · 7f14y Std 130 · beat its mark11/03/2026 · OR 51 par11/036OR 516 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 51 · 7f36y Std 121 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Wolverhampton 06/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 51 · 6f20y Std 126 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 51 par6/046OR 516 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 57 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Leicester 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 56 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 56 par29/076OR 566 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 56 · 6f1y Std 131 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Southwell 17/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 63 · 6f16y Std 136 · below its mark17/09/2026 · OR 63 par17/096OR 63projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Southwell610th10th0
2026-08-18Lingfield61st1st0
2026-07-29Leicester62nd2nd0
2026-04-25Leicester66th6th0
2026-04-06Wolverhampton61st1st0
2026-03-17Wolverhampton63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0217/0329/0717/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/02/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
23/02/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
11/03/20262nd11/142%88%+0.45
17/03/20263rd6/168%75%+0.07
06/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
25/04/20266th10/382%44%-0.38
29/07/20262nd11/271%67%-0.04
18/08/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
17/09/202610th8/158%25%-0.33