Individualiste
8yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 50
Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap · 2m 120y
#5
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Kempton | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Salisbury | 3 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-05 | Hereford | 4 | +2 | ||
| 2026-03-28 | Uttoxeter | 4 | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2024 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 29/11/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 15/12/2024 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 26/01/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 14/12/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/05/2026 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 05/08/2026 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |