5

Razzo Italiano

9yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 46

Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap · 2m 120y

#4

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★ Timeform

Commentary

Three-time hurdle winner but modest at best on the Flat and finished well beaten on return from long break at Chester earlier this month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Stratford 07/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 89 · 2m6f7y Sft 152 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/10/2024 · OR 89 par7/104OR 895 @ Stratford 31/10/2024 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 89 · 2m2f148y Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/10/2024 · OR 89 par4 @ Southwell 04/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f23y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS4/0344 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f36y Std 142 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Stratford 29/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 2m2f148y Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/03/2025 · OR 88 par29/035OR 884 @ Bangor-on-Dee 12/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 87 · 2m3f123y Gd 145 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/04/2025 · OR 87 par6 @ Wolverhampton 26/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 53 · 2m120y Std 133 · beat its mark26/04/2025 · OR 53 par26/046OR 535 @ Haydock 22/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 53 · 2m45y Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2025 · OR 53 par5 @ Chester 11/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 48 · 1m7f196y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 48 par11/095OR 48projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Chester511th10th+1
2025-05-22Haydock53rd2nd+1
2025-04-26Wolverhampton64th4th0
2025-04-12Bangor-on-Dee47th5th+2
2025-03-29Stratford55th4th+1
2025-03-17Wolverhampton46th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1017/0326/0411/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength53%

Delivery trend +8.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20247th7/163%33%-0.30
31/10/20248th9/153%36%-0.16
04/03/20257th200/10%14%+0.14
17/03/20256th200/10%17%+0.17
29/03/20255th10/147%20%-0.27
12/04/20257th16/116%33%+0.18
26/04/20254th40/10%57%+0.57
22/05/20253rd20/10%67%+0.67
11/09/202611th100/10%9%+0.09