10
Turton
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 48
Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap · 2m 120y
#10
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength44%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Lingfield | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Leicester | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lingfield | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Nottingham | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-23 | Southwell | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |