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8

Coiled

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 46

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 142y

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden who arrives on back of respectable fifth of 14 in handicap at Bath (1m, good to firm) 17 days ago. Challenge is to build on that here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Leicester 14/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 46 · 7f Goo 125 · beat its mark14/06/2025 · OR 46 par14/066OR 466 @ Chepstow 23/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 45 · 6f16y Goo 120 · beat its mark23/06/2025 · OR 45 par6 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 45 · 1m31y GF 126 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 45 par29/066OR 456 @ Brighton 07/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 41 · 5f215y GF 135 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 41 par6 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 45 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 45 par26/076OR 456 @ Yarmouth 05/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 45 · 6f3y GF 147 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 36 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 36 par18/086OR 366 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 47 · 7f1y Std 123 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Bath 12/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 47 · 1m Goo 127 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 47 par12/096OR 47projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Bath65th5th0
2026-09-10Lingfield69th9th0
2026-08-18Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-08-05Yarmouth67th7th0
2026-07-26Pontefract611th11th0
2026-07-07Brighton610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/067/0718/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength80%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20258th40/10%0%0.00
23/06/20258th40/10%13%+0.13
29/06/202611th40/10%0%0.00
07/07/202610th40/10%10%+0.10
26/07/202611th40/10%0%0.00
05/08/20267th80/10%0%0.00
18/08/20263rd150/10%82%+0.82
10/09/20269th18/15%11%+0.06
12/09/20265th50/10%69%+0.69