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3

Cy Twombly

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 53

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 142y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to register a victory and he arrives out of sorts, only eighth of 13 in handicap at Southwell (1m, 33/1) 5 days ago. Best watched.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 30/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 72 · 1m13y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/01/2026 · OR 72 par30/015OR 724 @ Wolverhampton 01/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 67 · 1m142y Std 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Southwell 18/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 62 · 7f14y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 62 par18/065OR 626 @ Wolverhampton 21/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 60 · 1m142y Std 140 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Wolverhampton 30/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m142y Std 131 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 60 par30/076OR 606 @ Wolverhampton 26/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 58 · 1m142y Std 136 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Leicester 08/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 56 · 1m2f GS 131 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 56 par8/096OR 566 @ Wolverhampton 15/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 56 · 1m142y Std 136 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Southwell 24/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 53 · 1m14y Std 130 · beat its mark24/09/2026 · OR 53 par24/096OR 53projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Southwell68th8th0
2026-09-15Wolverhampton68th8th0
2026-09-08Leicester69th9th0
2026-08-26Wolverhampton611th11th0
2026-07-30Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-07-21Wolverhampton69th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0121/078/0924/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength32%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/202611th50/10%0%0.00
01/06/20269th200/10%20%+0.20
18/06/20268th100/10%22%+0.22
21/07/20269th40/10%11%+0.11
30/07/20264th50/10%70%+0.70
26/08/202611th14/126%9%-0.17
08/09/20269th50/10%0%0.00
15/09/20268th66/10%36%+0.36
24/09/20268th33/10%42%+0.42