2
Offiah's Boy
5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 53
Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 142y
#2
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Windsor | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bath | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Bath | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bath | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 15/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 14/09/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 10% | -0.27 |