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9

Hammal

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 45

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 142y

#9

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to trouble the judge after 8 attempts and is readily passed over. Cheekpieces on for first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 09/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f36y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS9/1254 @ Wolverhampton 12/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f36y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Southwell 22/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f16y Std 142 · HIGHER CLASS22/0146 @ Bath 22/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 55 · 1m Goo 126 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Chepstow 15/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 52 · 1m14y Gd 132 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 52 par15/066OR 526 @ Bath 01/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 50 · 1m Fm 135 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Ffos Las 14/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 47 · 1m2f Goo 130 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 47 par14/076OR 476 @ Wolverhampton 26/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 46 · 1m4f51y Std 135 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 46 par26/086OR 46projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Wolverhampton610th10th0
2026-07-14Ffos Las66th6th0
2026-07-01Bath69th9th0
2026-06-15Chepstow610th10th0
2026-05-22Bath610th10th0
2026-01-22Southwell411th9th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1222/0514/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength31%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/12/20246th7/163%44%-0.19
12/01/20267th300/10%14%+0.14
22/01/202611th250/10%9%+0.09
22/05/202610th100/10%10%+0.10
15/06/202610th40/10%0%0.00
01/07/20269th66/10%27%+0.27
14/07/20266th100/10%38%+0.38
26/08/202610th200/10%10%+0.10