7
Lhebayeb
8yo Mare · 9-1 · OR 47
Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 142y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
74%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Chepstow | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 23/02/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 11% | -0.52 |
| 10/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 16/03/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 55% | -0.31 |
| 30/03/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 10% | -0.58 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |