Spring
4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 50
Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 142y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Kempton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-05 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-05-19 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-09-09 | Brighton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2024 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 15/08/2024 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/09/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/09/2024 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 23/04/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 19/05/2025 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 18% | -0.58 |
| 05/06/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 29/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |