1

Le Concierge

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 5 · OR 68

Turffontein · Betway Maiden Plate · 7f 46y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 7 Flat runs. 33/10, second of 10 in maiden at Scottsville (7f, good) 20 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 06/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1326/12C8C8 @ Durbanville 21/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13221/03C8C8 @ Kenilworth 15/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12615/04C8C8 @ Kenilworth 23/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13223/06C8C8 @ Durbanville 14/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12314/07C8C8 @ Greyville 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12614/08C8C8 @ Scottsville 13/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12613/09C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Scottsville?2nd2nd0
2026-08-14Greyville?4th4th0
2026-07-14Durbanville?6th6th0
2026-06-23Kenilworth?2nd2nd0
2026-04-15Kenilworth?7th7th0
2026-03-21Durbanville?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1223/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 58/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength99%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/12/20255th11/271%20%-0.51
21/03/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
15/04/20267th15/261%14%-0.46
23/06/20262nd22/10%88%+0.88
14/07/20266th15/890%29%-0.62
14/08/20264th9/276%63%-0.14
13/09/20262nd11/486%89%+0.03