IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. turffontein
  3. race-4

11:55 · Turffontein

Betway Middle Stakes

1m 209yGoing TBC3YO plusTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 83
7/2
Best Candidate silks

Mr D Shawe

Best Candidate

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 11

Querari - Cantabella (Galileo)

Craig Zackey70%4/8Michael Nicholas Houdalakis60%
191311
9.0Going 8.0

Course winner. 4 wins from 6 runs this year. 4/1, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Vaal (9.9f, good to soft) 16 days ago. Improving all the time recently.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/0423/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength10%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%19/04Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%18/06Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%25/07Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%17/09
Projected finish1st of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-570/100
6
Value2
OR 75
5/1
Corrupt silks

Wernars Family

Corrupt

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 3

Erupt - Lil' Bacio (Windrush)

K De Melo80%1/3Mike/mathe Kock70%
673113
7.0Class ↓4Going 8.0

Course winner. 2 wins from 5 runs this year. Latest win here in July. 17/10, third of 5 in handicap at Vaal (13.9f, good) 58 days ago. Significantly back down in trip.

Class Advantage

16/12 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a16/129/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a6/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength31%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 209y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 17%16/12Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%21/05Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%9/07Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%6/08
Projected finish2nd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
89%1-757/100
11
5
OR 67
8/1
Doctor Strangelove silks

Messrs G A Basel, L Clark, G C Cornwall & J Gerber

Doctor Strangelove

4yo Gelding · 7-12 · Draw 2

Master Of My Fate - Giveusakiss (Greys Inn)

Jarryd PennyAlec Laird60%
3311
8.0Going 8.0

2 wins from 4 runs this year. Career best when winning 9-runner handicap at this C&D (good, 11/2) 84 days ago.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/0528/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/0511/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0611/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a11/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 209y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 67%16/05Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%28/05Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%11/07
Projected finish3rd of 10
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
78%1-373/100
7
3
OR 82
25/1
First Wish silks

Mr P J Moor

First Wish

5yo Mare · 8-7 · Draw 6

Master Of My Fate - Little Genie (Judpot)

Serino Moodley60%Candice/ta Dawson70%
641423
6.0Class ↓4Going 8.0

Latest win at Borrowdale in April. 14/1, first run since leaving A. L. Parham when very good third of 7 in handicap at Vaal (8.4f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Can make presence felt.

Class Advantage

22/12 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a22/122/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength28%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%22/12Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%3/02Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%27/03Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%10/09
Projected finish4th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%3-864/100
2
4
OR 77
6/1
Landoftherisingsun silks

Nancy Hossack, Neville Isdell & Kalinga

Landoftherisingsun

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 8

Danon Platina - Dawn Rising (Trippi)

R Fourie80%1/6Justin Snaith70%
282739
4.0Going 10.0Class ↓4

Last of 9 in minor event at Scottsville (8f, good to soft, 2/1) 12 days ago. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/023/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength76%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%28/02Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 92%4/07Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%28/08Pos 9 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 9 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 0%21/09
Projected finish5th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
56%1-1029/100
10
6
OR 89
5/1
Dawson's Anvil silks

Hollywood Racing (nom: Mr A Delpech)

Dawson's Anvil

4yo Gelding · 8-3 · Draw 4

Rafeef - Cassie O'malley (Jet Master)

M Yeni80%Mike/mathe Kock70%
172
5.0

Course winner. Second of 6 in handicap (5/1) at this course (7.2f, good) 14 days ago. Up in trip. Has to be taken seriously.

Class Advantage

9/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/1110/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/0519/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 209y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%9/11Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%10/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%19/09
Projected finish6th of 10
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
44%3-569/100
8
8
OR 74
12/1
Battleground silks

Drakenstein Stud (nom: Mrs G A Rupert)

Battleground

7yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 9

Futura - Archerfield (Arch)

Trent Mayhew60%Michael Nicholas Houdalakis60%
240372
6.0Class ↓4

4-time course winner. Twenty three runs since last win in 2024. 25/2, good second of 5 in handicap at Vaal (13.9f, good) 58 days ago. Significantly back down in trip.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a21/0428/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a6/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength41%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 209y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%21/04Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%4/06Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%25/07Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%6/08
Projected finish7th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%2-670/100
3
7
OR 80
12/1
Hat's Queen silks

Mr Jaime & Mrs Mariza Vilela

Hat's Queen

5yo Mare · 9-2 · Draw 10

Hat Puntano - Princess Varunya (High Chaparral)

Kabelo Matsunyane60%Tony Peter60%
426420
5.0Class ↓4Going 8.0

100/1, 5¾ lengths eleventh of 12 to Mocha Blend in Gr 2 at Greyville (9.9f, good) 69 days ago. Easy to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage

29/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/033/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a26/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength100%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 70%29/03Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 58%24/05Pos 4 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 4 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%20/06Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 9%26/07
Projected finish8th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
22%2-1040/100
9
9
OR 68
14/1
Kudzu silks

Wernars Family

Kudzu

6yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 5

Flower Alley - Headstrong (Pivotal)

Calvin Habib70%Johan J Vuuren60%
118436
5.0Going 8.0

4-time course winner. Latest win here in May. 5/1, sixth of 8 in handicap at this course (9.9f, good) 35 days ago.

Class Advantage

9/04 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a9/0410/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength10%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 209y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%9/04Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 36%4/06Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%25/07Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 29%29/08
Projected finish9th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
11%2-1040/100
1
10
OR 92
12/1
Porridge Boy silks

Mr M Pandaram

Porridge Boy

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 7

Erupt - Being Fabulous (High Chaparral)

Tristan Godden60%Mano Pandaram
631083
4.0Class ↓4

Course winner. 25/1, excellent third of 10 in minor event at Greyville (7f, AW) 43 days ago. Up in trip.

Class Advantage

27/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/077/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength43%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 209y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 62%27/07Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%12/03Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%10/06Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 78%21/08
Projected finish10th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%2-1040/100