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4

Pogini Greine

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 4 · OR 67

Turffontein · Betway Maiden Plate · 7f 46y

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

66/1, fourth of 8 in minor event at this course (8f, good) 79 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 16/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 13216/05C8C8 @ Turffontein 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13211/06C8C8 @ Vaal 25/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 12325/06C8C8 @ Turffontein 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13216/07C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Turffontein?4th4th0
2026-06-25Vaal?7th7th0
2026-06-11Turffontein?7th7th0
2026-05-16Turffontein?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0511/0625/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 53/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength90%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/202610th22/10%25%+0.25
11/06/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
25/06/20267th10/147%33%-0.14
16/07/20264th33/10%57%+0.57