6

Razzpath Rebel

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 3 · OR 76

Turffontein · Betway Maiden Plate · 7f 46y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

86%

Place Prob

68%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Third of 7 in maiden at this course (6f, good, 9/2) 14 days ago. Up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 16/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13216/08C8C8 @ Turffontein 19/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13219/09C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Turffontein?3rd3rd0
2026-08-16Turffontein?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -93.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20262nd33/10%83%+0.83
19/09/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10