1
Pennys Choice
4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 6 · OR 66
Turffontein · Betway Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 46y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Kenilworth | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 60/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 18/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 10/11/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 13/01/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 14/06/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 36% | -0.50 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |