2

Savara's Princess
4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 5 · OR 42
Turffontein · Betway Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 46y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.01 |
| 20/11/2025 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 01/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 12/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |