2

Savara's Princess

4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 5 · OR 42

Turffontein · Betway Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 46y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. Fourth of 9 in maiden (16/1) at this course (7f, good to soft). Off 167 days.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 09/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1309/10C8C8 @ Vaal 20/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y GS 128C8 @ Turffontein 07/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 1327/12C8C8 @ Vaal 18/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 130C8 @ Turffontein 01/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 1321/02C8C8 @ Turffontein 12/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 132C8 @ Vaal 26/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f46y GS 13226/03C8C8 @ Vaal 02/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 132C8 @ Turffontein 19/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13219/04C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-19Turffontein?4th4th0
2026-04-02Vaal?2nd2nd0
2026-03-26Vaal?5th5th0
2026-03-12Turffontein?5th5th0
2026-02-01Turffontein?7th7th0
2025-12-18Vaal?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1018/1226/0319/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength68%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20256th7/163%64%+0.01
20/11/20259th7/163%43%-0.20
07/12/20257th22/10%60%+0.60
18/12/20252nd9/488%83%-0.05
01/02/20267th12/137%25%-0.12
12/03/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
26/03/20265th28/10%33%+0.33
02/04/20262nd9/153%80%+0.27
19/04/20264th12/137%63%+0.26