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5

Trex On Fire

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 7 · OR 52

Turffontein · Betway Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 46y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

14/1, seventh of 8 in minor event at this course (7f, good) 70 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 1174/05C8C8 @ Turffontein 04/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1234/06C8C8 @ Vaal 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13218/06C8C8 @ Turffontein 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13216/07C8C8 @ Turffontein 25/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13225/07C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Turffontein?7th7th0
2026-07-16Turffontein?3rd3rd0
2026-06-18Vaal?5th5th0
2026-06-04Turffontein?3rd3rd0
2026-05-04Vaal?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/054/0618/0616/0725/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 8-9 · tight 80/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20264th15/261%50%-0.11
04/06/20263rd11/271%71%+0.00
18/06/20265th12/137%64%+0.27
16/07/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01
25/07/20267th10/147%14%-0.33