Arumugam
8yo Gelding · 8-5 · Draw 4 · OR 36
Turffontein · Betway Mr 80 Handicap · 1m 4f 204y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vaal | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 28/05/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |