7
Epidaurus
4yo Gelding · 8-5 · Draw 8 · OR 58
Turffontein · Betway Mr 80 Handicap · 1m 4f 204y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength36%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-13 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-02 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-11 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 44% | -0.11 |