4
Euphrates
5yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 7 · OR 70
Turffontein · Betway Mr 80 Handicap · 1m 4f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength65%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-09-10 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vaal | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-16 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 48/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 14/03/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 16/07/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 22% | -0.65 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 17/09/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |