6
Samuel Sharpe
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 57
Turffontein · Betway Mr 80 Handicap · 1m 4f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-07 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 44% | -0.42 |