3

Top Floor

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 1 · OR 75

Turffontein · Betway Mr 80 Handicap · 1m 4f 204y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

17/2, fifth of 7 in handicap at this course (1m, good) 21 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Standard bearer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 17/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 13217/05C8C8 @ Turffontein 19/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13219/02C8C8 @ Vaal 05/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1325/03C8C8 @ Vaal 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1323/09C8C8 @ Turffontein 12/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13212/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Turffontein?5th7th−1
2026-09-03Vaal?5th7th−1
2026-03-05Vaal?1st3rd−2
2026-02-19Turffontein?2nd4th−2
2025-05-17Turffontein?9th11th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0519/025/033/0912/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 45/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength77%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20259th9/488%27%-0.61
19/02/20262nd8/158%89%+0.31
05/03/20261st4/1198%100%+0.02
03/09/20265th11/142%43%+0.01
12/09/20265th7/163%33%-0.30