5
Utsaah
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 2 · OR 71
Turffontein · Betway Mr 80 Handicap · 1m 4f 204y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
68%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vaal | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-13 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Vaal | ? | 9th | 9th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 84/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 25/06/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |