8
Battleground
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 9 · OR 74
Turffontein · Betway Middle Stakes · 1m 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Turffontein | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 58% | +0.00 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 28/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 04/06/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |