6
Corrupt
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 75
Turffontein · Betway Middle Stakes · 1m 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength31%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 16/12/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |