10
Dawson's Anvil
4yo Gelding · 8-3 · Draw 4 · OR 89
Turffontein · Betway Middle Stakes · 1m 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-05-10 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-5 · tight 69/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |