IvyArcIvyArc
11

Doctor Strangelove

4yo Gelding · 7-12 · Draw 2 · OR 67

Turffontein · Betway Middle Stakes · 1m 209y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

2 wins from 4 runs this year. Career best when winning 9-runner handicap at this C&D (good, 11/2) 84 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -3.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13216/05C8C8 @ Vaal 28/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13228/05C8C8 @ Turffontein 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 13211/06C8C6 @ Turffontein 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 12511/07C6projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Turffontein?1st3rd−2
2026-06-11Turffontein?1st5th−4
2026-05-28Vaal?3rd7th−4
2026-05-16Turffontein?3rd7th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0528/0511/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 73/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +14.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20263rd5/493%67%-0.27
28/05/20263rd13/266%80%+0.14
11/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
11/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21