3
Hat's Queen
5yo Mare · 9-2 · Draw 10 · OR 80
Turffontein · Betway Middle Stakes · 1m 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength100%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.5
Today:
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Greyville | ? | 11th | 6th | +4 |
| 2026-06-20 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2025-05-03 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | -2th | +4 |
| 2025-03-29 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 40/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 21/01/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 01/03/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 29/03/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 03/05/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 24/05/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 58% | +0.16 |
| 22/06/2025 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 40% | -0.53 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 26/07/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |