9
Kudzu
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 5 · OR 68
Turffontein · Betway Middle Stakes · 1m 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 40/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 04/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |