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2

Landoftherisingsun

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 8 · OR 77

Turffontein · Betway Middle Stakes · 1m 209y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Last of 9 in minor event at Scottsville (8f, good to soft, 2/1) 12 days ago. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength76%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC3 @ Kenilworth 13/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASS13/12C3C5 @ Kenilworth 13/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 132C5 @ Durbanville 11/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 13711/02C5C1 @ Kenilworth 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m4f95y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Kenilworth 03/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m209y Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS3/05C1C4 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Greyville 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS26/07C1C5 @ Greyville 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y Hvy 136C5 @ Scottsville 21/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y GS 13721/09C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Scottsville?9th9th0
2026-08-28Greyville?3rd3rd0
2026-07-26Greyville?7th3rd+4
2026-07-04Greyville?2nd1st+1
2026-05-03Kenilworth?8th3rd+4
2026-02-28Kenilworth?2nd-2th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1228/0226/0721/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength62%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/12/20256th4/179%38%-0.41
13/01/20263rd9/276%78%+0.01
11/02/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
28/02/20262nd7/282%67%-0.15
03/05/20268th9/153%0%-0.53
04/07/20262nd14/126%92%+0.66
26/07/20267th14/126%54%+0.28
28/08/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28
21/09/20269th15/890%0%-0.90