2

Gotthetiger

3yo Colt · 9-1 · Draw 2 · OR 82

Turffontein · Betway Mr 92 Open Handicap (3-Year-Olds) · 7f 210y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

1 win from 2 runs this year. 91/100, won 9-runner minor event at this course (7f, good) 90 days ago. Makes handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 13216/05C8C0 @ Turffontein 05/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1265/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Turffontein?1st1st0
2026-05-16Turffontein?5th8th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/055/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength73%

Delivery trend -15.1% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20265th10/147%67%+0.19
05/07/20261st4/596%100%+0.04