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7

Hot Choice

3yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 5 · OR 74

Turffontein · Betway Mr 92 Open Handicap (3-Year-Olds) · 7f 210y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. 1 win from 3 runs this year. Winner here in August. Third of 10 in minor event at this course (7.2f, good, 33/20) 21 days ago. Makes handicap debut. More required.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 12711/07C8C8 @ Turffontein 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1268/08C8C5 @ Turffontein 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS12/09C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Turffontein?3rd2nd+1
2026-08-08Turffontein?1st4th−3
2026-07-11Turffontein?2nd5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/078/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 5-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -50.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20262nd25/10%88%+0.88
08/08/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
12/09/20263rd6/492%78%-0.14