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8

Kovil

3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 71

Turffontein · Betway Mr 92 Open Handicap (3-Year-Olds) · 7f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Winner here in July. 5/1, fourth of 7 in handicap at this C&D (good) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 23/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y GS 13223/04C8C8 @ Turffontein 16/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 13216/05C8C8 @ Vaal 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13218/06C8C8 @ Turffontein 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13216/07C8C8 @ Turffontein 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 11512/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Turffontein?4th6th−2
2026-07-16Turffontein?1st4th−3
2026-06-18Vaal?5th8th−3
2026-05-16Turffontein?4th7th−3
2026-04-23Turffontein?4th7th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0416/0518/0616/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -21.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/04/20264th18/15%57%+0.52
16/05/20264th40/10%75%+0.75
18/06/20265th9/276%67%-0.10
16/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
12/09/20264th9/276%50%-0.26