3
Trojan Horse
3yo Colt · 9-1 · Draw 6 · OR 79
Turffontein · Betway Mr 92 Open Handicap (3-Year-Olds) · 7f 210y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
86%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -19.8% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |