8
Miss World
5yo Mare · 9-3 · Draw 1 · OR 90
Turffontein · Betway Joburg Spring F & M Challenge (Grade 2) (Fillies And Mares) · 7f 46y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: -4.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-07-19 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-05-09 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |
| 10/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 91% | -0.01 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |