9
Busstopinhounslow
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 1 · OR 44
Turffontein · Betway Joburg Spring Challenge (Grade 2) · 7f 46y
#13
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength21%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Turffontein | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Turffontein | ? | 10th | 15th | −4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-01-11 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 12-13 · tight 87/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 84% | +0.84 |
| 11/01/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 21/03/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 28/04/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |