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2

Fire Attack

5yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 10 · OR 82

Turffontein · Betway Joburg Spring Challenge (Grade 2) · 7f 46y

#11

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

4-time course winner. 2 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win here in April. 15½ lengths eleventh of 12 to Questioning in Gr 1 at Greyville (8f, good, 66/1). Off 119 days.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Greyville 27/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m209y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS27/07C?C5 @ Turffontein 26/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 123C5 @ Kenilworth 24/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 11924/12C5C0 @ Kenilworth 10/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Turffontein 14/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m209y GS 13214/02C1C0 @ Turffontein 07/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Turffontein 04/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS4/04C?C0 @ Turffontein 28/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 132C0 @ Greyville 06/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS6/06C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Greyville?11th11th+0
2026-04-28Turffontein?1st1st0
2026-04-04Turffontein?7th7th+0
2026-03-07Turffontein?4th4th+0
2026-02-14Turffontein?1st1st−0
2026-01-10Kenilworth?14th14th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0710/014/046/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 35/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength47%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20254th6/168%50%-0.18
26/10/20252nd5/174%86%+0.12
24/12/20255th11/486%0%-0.86
10/01/202614th66/10%0%0.00
14/02/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
07/03/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
04/04/20267th13/266%25%-0.41
28/04/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
06/06/202611th40/10%9%+0.09