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3

Gladatorian

7yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 5 · OR 105

Turffontein · Betway Joburg Spring Challenge (Grade 2) · 7f 46y

#8

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Eleven wins from 35 Flat runs. 5/1, 5¾ lengths sixth of 8 to Eight On Eighteen in Gr 1 at Greyville (9f, good) 69 days ago. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Greyville 27/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m209y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS27/07C?C5 @ Greyville 07/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 141C0 @ Kenilworth 13/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13213/12C?C0 @ Kenilworth 10/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Kenilworth 31/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS31/01C?C0 @ Greyville 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 132C0 @ Greyville 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS6/06C?C0 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 1m2f206y Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Greyville 26/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS26/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Greyville?6th6th+0
2026-07-04Greyville?7th7th+0
2026-06-06Greyville?3rd3rd+0
2026-05-02Greyville?2nd2nd0
2026-01-31Kenilworth?7th7th+0
2026-01-10Kenilworth?7th7th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0710/016/0626/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
07/11/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
13/12/202511th7/282%17%-0.65
10/01/20267th40/10%54%+0.54
31/01/20267th25/10%40%+0.40
02/05/20262nd11/142%88%+0.45
06/06/20263rd25/10%82%+0.82
04/07/20267th28/10%65%+0.65
26/07/20266th5/174%29%-0.45