15
Prince Of Kildare
6yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 3 · OR 76
Turffontein · Betway Joburg Spring Challenge (Grade 2) · 7f 46y
#12
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -5.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 12th | −5 |
| 2026-08-01 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-06-29 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-06-07 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-05-21 | Vaal | ? | 8th | 15th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 9-13 · tight 75/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 90% | +0.48 |
| 21/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |